Where Did the MGR Concept Come From?

The MGR was conceived after a study was made of the election results of all 308 Ridings in the 2006 Federal Election. This study was done to seek a strategy whereby the approximately three million lawful gun owners could exert effective political pressure to have Bill C 68 repealed. Once the details were transferred to an Excel spreadsheet some important facts became very evident.

Firstly, in a large number of Ridings the winner squeaked in with a very small margin. Secondly, many of these marginal winners were first time candidates. Thirdly, in many Ridings that were won with small majorities by CPC candidates, , the Green Party had gained an unusually high percentage of the vote. This was not explained by the Green candidate being particularly popular, especially in the previous election.

The following twelve CPC candidates were noteworthy in that the Green Party received more than twice the national average (3.7%) of Green votes in their Ridings.. The Green percentage appears in brackets behind each MP’s name. Anders (10.3%) Cannan (8.0%), Clement (8%), Day (7.6%), Harper (7.7%), Lunn (9.9%), Miller (12.9%), Prentice (11.8%), Richardson (11,7%), Tilson (10.0%), Thompson (10.8%) and Zeisman (11.3%).

It was concluded that many otherwise loyal CPC voters were unhappy with their CPC Candidate, and being unwilling to switch to another of the major parties, decided to ‘park’ their vote as a protest. Unpopular candidates of other parties appeared to suffer the same fate.

It became immediately apparent that any sizeable increase in the Green vote at the next election might upset the applecart in about 30 Ridings and make it impossible to estimate the overall result. Another obvious implication is that an unexpected increase in ‘parked’ Green votes would result in another minority for the Harper gang. That in turn would probably see the end of both Harper and Dion, and maybe Layton too. Because the supporters of the MGR do not trust Harper to repeal C 68 if he should get a majority, this result would be exactly what we want. Such an obvious result should also give heart to many Canadians who have come to believe “there is nothing we can do”. The very fact that our vote is secret should encourage many gun owners of uncertain determination to secretly vote for the Green candidate. No one need ever know. Therein lies our strength.
We can never estimate how much effect the MGR will have and neither can anyone else!

Before a word was spoken about the Morning Glory Rebellion all possible contingent results were investigated, including a major upsurge of Green votes to as many as 10,000 in each Riding. The most severe outcome would be an even more unpredictable upset but with the CPC still getting only a shaky minority. A Green candidate would need to gain about 25,000 votes in any given Riding to win a seat and this was considered to be highly unlikely. And even if the Green Party did win 2 or 3 seats nothing would change in Ottawa as a result. And if the majority of pro Green voters were Party members and also held hunting licences, who would control the Green Party?

Summary. 1) Parking one’s vote temporarily is a frequent and age-old tactic of otherwise loyal party members. 2) During elections where there are many Ridings with unpredictable outcomes, (Election 2006), such ‘parking’ of one’s vote can have a severe effect. The real impact on sitting Members can be lost of seat, end of political career, loss of pension, etc. 3) With the present (December 2007) uncertainty for all political parties the mere existence of such a movement as the Morning Glory Rebellion can have a major effect, with relatively few votes and THIS WILL ALREADY BE OBVIOUS TO THE BACK ROOM PLANNERS OF ALL PARTIES. It is worthwhile to note that our Morning Glory plan will only work in a “First past the post” electoral system.

Because of the smoke and mirrors obscurity of Canadian politics, none dare mention the ‘R’(rebel)word. Many MPs and several newspaper editors know about the MGR but not a peep do we hear. Are they afraid that the MGR might gain momentum if there was any public discussion?

Good! Because sooner or later a bold editor is going to ‘expose’ us and the cat will truly be loose amongst the pigeons. It would suit our purposes fine if it occurred just before the election is called.

All we seek is the repeal of C 68 and thus the de-criminalization of several million very good and loyal citizens and freedom from the fear of total firearms confiscation. And we do not wish to wait while our elected employees in Ottawa play endlessly with our reputations, our honour, our private property and our money.

Many minor questions were covered in earlier MGR messages that were distributed by email. Comments on this Website will no doubt precipitate further discussion of all the relevant facets of the Morning Glory Rebellion.

“Bad Weed”
2 Jan 2008